AG Squawk AM 8/10/2026 with Tommy Grisafi | Wheat Surges While Traders Brace For USDA Wednesday

We come to you from a makeshift living room studio to map out a bullish start for grains and the biggest risks heading into Wednesday’s USDA report. We break down wheat-led strength, shaky outside markets tied to Iran uncertainty, and a weather divide that could reshape crop expectations fast.
• Overnight futures snapshot across wheat, corn, soybeans, and other ag markets
• Crude oil strength, stocks rolling over, and why outside markets matter
• Cattle and feeders at the open, hogs trying to stop the bleeding
• East vs West weather reality and what it means for crop stress
• USDA acreage chatter, survey frustration, and pre-report selling decisions
• What to watch today with export inspections and crop progress
Follow us on all social medias.

Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com

AgBull Audio and Video Links

Apple Music

Spotify

YouTube

TikTok

Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits. 

Transcript

Quick Open And Market Setup

SPEAKER_00 0:12

Good morning, Tom McGrosopi, Ag Bull Media, Ag Bull Trading. Welcome to AgSquawk AM. Jud Sidwell's let me sit in for him. Today is Monday, 8, 10, 2026. We have an exciting show for you. It's going to be short, really to the point. We have USDA on Wednesday. We had some big price action in wheat. Corn got dragged along. Soybeans even said yes. All the grains are up to start this day. Where will cattle start here in a few minutes? I'm not sure. But crude oil is at multi-week highs. All that and more, Ag Squawk A.M. Good morning, everyone. Sitting here in my living room for two reasons. One, we're under construction in the Ag Bull Media Room downstairs. Two,

Remote Studio And Sponsors

SPEAKER_00 1:09

my internet went out yesterday and it never came back on. But I have Starlink and it's working just fine. So big thank you to our sponsor, Elon Musk. No, Elon Musk is not sponsoring this show. But you know who is? Trade the news, the good folks at Trade the News. That's an audio squawk service, just like us. And uh they're putting out good stuff. I've been a subscriber and a paid client for 25 years. Tell them the Ag Bolt Boy sent you to get a free trial. Trade the news course. We've got to head up to Chicago to plus 500 T4. T4. That's the software I'm using on my phone that I'm going to quote the markets to you right now. So let's do that. Big thanks to Plus500 and T4 software for sponsoring the show. All right. Tom Grassofi here. D's corn up three overnight, no beans up six. Wheat, board of trade wheat up 10, KC up 14, Minneapolis up 8. Even seeing things like oats up nine,

Overnight Grain Quotes And Strength

SPEAKER_00 1:57

rough rice, canola, the whole deal here rocking and rolling. Let's move over to outside markets. SP 500 down eight, NASDAQ down 60, and things are moving over there. There was a lot of green on the screen this morning. At one point when I woke up this morning, everything was up. Stocks, gold, silver. There was a lot of green on the screen, but now we're starting to roll over. So you're seeing gold roll over, stocks roll over. Big move last week in metals. Outside markets are on fire. Everyone's trying to figure out what we're going to do with this Iran war. And your guess is as good as mine. Let's get in the show and talk about cattle. Followed a week again last week in cattle. Speaking of cattle, I just got a text from our very own Jed Sidwell. He just recorded Mike Sands before the bell. That is up and getting ready to go out to paid subscribers. How do you become a paid subscriber? $25 a month, $250 annually. Thank you to all the new subscribers last few weeks. Of course, as we've mentioned several times, Jim Weismeyer, Weesmeyer's Perspectives will be turning into a paid service, but no need to panic. He's not charging much. Jim is going to be speaking a little less

Outside Markets And Iran Uncertainty

SPEAKER_00 3:06

out in public and putting out a little lot more content. So Weissmeyer's Perspectives will be paid for service on the AgBull website. How do you get a hold of us? We go to the AgBull website and say, hey, I want to make sure I'm getting Jim's free newsletter because everyone who signed up for Jim's newsletter will be sent a coupon, a discount code of half off what he's going to be charging the normal world. All right, back to show. Back to cattle. We thanked our sponsors. We promoted ourselves. Let's promote the beef industry. Hassett came out over the weekend. How he has any plan with cattle, I have no idea. But when you get higher representatives of the Trump administration talking about cattle, you gotta kind of shake your head. This guy right here. Kevin Hassett was commenting about cattle this weekend. Your guess is good as mine. He's got a good smile. We call him smiley here on the show, but I don't know what the hell he knows about cattle. Let's see how the cattle markets react when we open up. But uh live cattle were up a little bit, feeders were up three and a half, four dollars, and hogs

Cattle Hogs And Beef Talk

SPEAKER_00 4:03

up a little bit. Hogs have had a bad, bad run lately. Let's move to weather here. Big thanks to Mr. Craig Solberg. Craig's our internal weatherman at Nesvik, and he's awesome. Where I live in uh northwest Indiana, that's that real dark red-pink stuff up there up by Lake Michigan. Whew! As Jed says, we had like that for scump type of rain. It was coming down all types of ways last night. Knocked my power out, knocked my internet out. I don't know what the heck happened, but lots of moisture here. I can shut the sprinkler sprinkler system off. But it's the West. It's it's Wisconsin, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, continually missing these rains and continually having uh hot temps. So uh East versus West, big bad USDA. Watch the acres. Maybe that's not what the surprise will be. But all the experts, there's so many experts, I'm not sure why they still have day jobs, but the experts say watch the acres. We may add a few corn acres. And you know what? The seed

Weather Split And USDA Acres Frustration

SPEAKER_00 5:09

companies know that. They sold you the damn seed. You, the farmer, you planned the corn. John Deere knows it. Someone knows this information. Why we have to wait for the USDA to tell us is beyond me, and that you guys are filling out surveys that were sent to you in the mail and then sent back in the mail is absolutely ridiculous. Anyway, that's what we're doing. So, yeah, stick to the program. But the USDA, this one could rock the market. We're getting a little chance here to uh sell and protect some grain before the report. We'll see what people do. Again, haves and have nots here with the weather. All right, towards the end of the show, economic calendar, export inspections, 10 a.m. crop progress 3. Keep an eye on that crop progress, see if there's any big changes in those states out west. I believe Davis this afternoon has my friend uh Randy Martinson. Randy Martinson's a broker, a well-known name up in the Dakotas, a good friend of mine, good friend of the show. Randy Martinson will be on AgSquawk with host Davis Michelson. Trying to see if we have any other slides. That's it. Follow us on all social medias. We're on all of them. Hey, even if you crazies are on TikTok, follow us over there. Love to see on the paid subscriber side. We're already putting out content. Jed's just emailed. I just noticed the morning comments went out. Mike Sands premium videos going out. And of course, this is getting done later because I'm just not as fast as Jed. But do catch our free shows. Although we talk about being a paid subscriber and everything else. AgSquawk AM, usually out by eight. Ag squawk in the afternoons, 4 p.m. Those are on X, Spotify, Apple, YouTube. We're getting those shows out to you every day. Keep you in touch. Those are free. But if you want to do a deep dive, we have a simple policy here at Agble. We believe great information is for everyone. Maybe futures and options aren't for everyone. Roll the disclaimer. But good quality information for people in agriculture. Everyone should have a look at it. $25 a month, $2.50 annually. Hey, by the way, it's speaking season. I've been asked to speak at a lot of shows. I've been traveling. I have some shows lined up in August. Big shout out to a friend and client Donnie Almers. He asked me to speak on September 10th. I believe this September 11th is the 25-year anniversary of 9-11. But a lot of things happening. Harvest is going to happen with or without you. And I'd love to come speak at your show. So Tommy Grossoffi Agbull Media AgBull Trading coming to you

Calendar Items Shows And How To Follow

SPEAKER_00 7:31

from my living room. Wishing you all a safe day, a great week. If you need us, you know how to get a hold of us. 1855-7375. Make sure you tune in, Davis, this afternoon. It'll be a good one.